Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001453 0.001542 0.001634 0.001735 0.001845 0.001960 0.002090
2025-02-16 0.001358 0.001488 0.001628 0.001790 0.001972 0.002171 0.002407
2025-02-23 0.001256 0.001410 0.001580 0.001782 0.002018 0.002286 0.002613
2025-03-02 0.001156 0.001321 0.001509 0.001738 0.002012 0.002331 0.002734
2025-03-09 0.001080 0.001255 0.001456 0.001707 0.002015 0.002382 0.002860
2025-03-16 0.001031 0.001214 0.001430 0.001704 0.002047 0.002467 0.003026
2025-03-23 0.000980 0.001169 0.001394 0.001686 0.002058 0.002522 0.003155
2025-03-30 0.000941 0.001135 0.001370 0.001680 0.002081 0.002592 0.003303
2025-04-06 0.000898 0.001094 0.001335 0.001656 0.002080 0.002628 0.003407
2025-04-13 0.000857 0.001054 0.001299 0.001630 0.002072 0.002654 0.003497
2025-04-20 0.000807 0.001001 0.001243 0.001574 0.002022 0.002621 0.003500
2025-04-27 0.000790 0.000989 0.001240 0.001588 0.002067 0.002716 0.003688
2025-05-04 0.000771 0.000975 0.001237 0.001604 0.002119 0.002831 0.003922
2025-05-11 0.000768 0.000982 0.001261 0.001660 0.002230 0.003034 0.004301
2025-05-18 0.000743 0.000958 0.001243 0.001655 0.002253 0.003113 0.004495
2025-05-25 0.000707 0.000918 0.001201 0.001615 0.002222 0.003110 0.004563
2025-06-01 0.000677 0.000887 0.001169 0.001587 0.002209 0.003131 0.004668
2025-06-08 0.000658 0.000869 0.001155 0.001584 0.002232 0.003208 0.004866
2025-06-15 0.000636 0.000845 0.001133 0.001568 0.002233 0.003250 0.005009
2025-06-22 0.000618 0.000828 0.001118 0.001562 0.002249 0.003316 0.005195
2025-06-29 0.000597 0.000804 0.001094 0.001541 0.002240 0.003341 0.005312
2025-07-06 0.000576 0.000781 0.001068 0.001516 0.002225 0.003355 0.005410
2025-07-13 0.000549 0.000746 0.001026 0.001465 0.002166 0.003292 0.005367